Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense

Vitória de Guimaraes host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga on Sunday, September 20, 2026, starting at 14:30 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.

Head-to-head record

These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 6 wins for Vitória de Guimaraes, 2 draws and 2 for Moreirense. That gives Vitória de Guimaraes the historical edge in this matchup. Their most recent meetings on record: Vitória de Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense (2026-01-30); Moreirense 2-0 Vitória de Guimaraes (2025-08-23); Moreirense 2-2 Vitória de Guimaraes (2025-03-30).

Recent form

Vitória de Guimaraes come into this one having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-D-L). Over that run they have scored 4 goals and conceded 6. That works out to a 27% form rating over the period.

Moreirense come into this one having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 (D-L-W-L-L). Over that run they have scored 2 goals and conceded 10. That works out to a 27% form rating over the period.

How BetEX AI analyses this fixture

BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.

Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.