Vitória de Guimaraes vs Casa Pia

Vitória de Guimaraes host Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on Sunday, September 6, 2026, starting at 17:00 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.

Head-to-head record

These two sides have met 8 times in our head-to-head records, with 1 win for Vitória de Guimaraes, 4 draws and 3 for Casa Pia. Historically, then, Casa Pia have had the better of this fixture. Their most recent meetings on record: Vitória de Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia (2026-05-11); Casa Pia 0-0 Vitória de Guimaraes (2025-12-28); Vitória de Guimaraes 1-0 Casa Pia (2025-03-01).

Recent form

Vitória de Guimaraes come into this one having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W). Over that run they have scored 4 goals and conceded 11. That works out to a 20% form rating over the period.

Casa Pia come into this one having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 (W-D-L-L-L). Over that run they have scored 2 goals and conceded 11. That works out to a 27% form rating over the period.

How BetEX AI analyses this fixture

BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.

Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.