Newcastle United vs Aston Villa
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Newcastle United host Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday, October 17, 2026, starting at 16:30 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 12 times in our head-to-head records, with 5 wins for Newcastle United, 2 draws and 5 for Aston Villa. Historically this fixture could hardly be more even. Their most recent meetings on record: Newcastle United 0-2 Aston Villa (2026-01-25); Aston Villa 0-0 Newcastle United (2025-08-16); Aston Villa 4-1 Newcastle United (2025-04-19).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Newcastle United | 0-2 | Aston Villa |
| 2025-08-16 | Aston Villa | 0-0 | Newcastle United |
| 2025-04-19 | Aston Villa | 4-1 | Newcastle United |
| 2024-12-26 | Newcastle United | 3-0 | Aston Villa |
| 2024-01-30 | Aston Villa | 1-3 | Newcastle United |
Recent form
Newcastle United come into this one having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 (W-D-L-W-L). Over that run they have scored 8 goals and conceded 11. That works out to a 47% form rating over the period.
Aston Villa come into this one having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 (L-D-L-W-D). Over that run they have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. That works out to a 33% form rating over the period.
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Newcastle United vs Aston Villa
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.