Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Toronto Raptors host Miami Heat in the NBA on Saturday, October 3, 2026, starting at 23:00 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 5 wins for Toronto Raptors against 5 for Miami Heat. Historically this fixture could hardly be more even. Meetings between the two average 214.4 points per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Heat 118-103 Toronto Raptors (2024-04-14); Miami Heat 125-103 Toronto Raptors (2024-04-13); Toronto Raptors 121-97 Miami Heat (2024-01-18).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | Miami Heat | 118-103 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2024-04-13 | Miami Heat | 125-103 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2024-01-18 | Toronto Raptors | 121-97 | Miami Heat |
| 2023-12-07 | Toronto Raptors | 103-112 | Miami Heat |
| 2023-03-28 | Toronto Raptors | 106-92 | Miami Heat |
Recent form
Toronto Raptors come into this one having won 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 (L). Over that run they have scored 122 points and conceded 94. That works out to a 0% form rating over the period.
Miami Heat come into this one having won 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 (W). Over that run they have scored 136 points and conceded 120. That works out to a 100% form rating over the period.
Team statistics
Toronto Raptors carry an Elo rating of 1558 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. Miami Heat carry an Elo rating of 1528 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games.
Toronto Raptors
| Recent form | LWLWWLLWLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1558 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 113 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 111 |
Miami Heat
| Recent form | LWWLLWLWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1528 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 126.4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 128.6 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.