NBA

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Friday, October 16, 2026 · 23:00 UTC

Match completed

Orlando Magic hosted Miami Heat in the NBA on Friday, October 16, 2026. This game has finished. Here is how the matchup stacked up — the head-to-head history and the form both teams carried in.

Head-to-head record

These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 7 wins for Orlando Magic against 3 for Miami Heat. That gives Orlando Magic the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 213.4 points per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Heat 121-95 Orlando Magic (2024-02-07); Orlando Magic 105-87 Miami Heat (2024-01-21); Miami Heat 99-96 Orlando Magic (2024-01-13).

DateHomeScoreAway
2024-02-07Miami Heat121-95Orlando Magic
2024-01-21Orlando Magic105-87Miami Heat
2024-01-13Miami Heat99-96Orlando Magic
2023-12-21Orlando Magic106-115Miami Heat
2023-04-09Miami Heat123-110Orlando Magic

Recent form

Orlando Magic come into this one having won 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 (W-L). Over that run they have scored 221 points and conceded 222. That works out to a 50% form rating over the period.

Miami Heat come into this one having won 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 (W). Over that run they have scored 136 points and conceded 120. That works out to a 100% form rating over the period.

Team statistics

Orlando Magic carry an Elo rating of 1634 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. Miami Heat carry an Elo rating of 1563 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.

Orlando Magic

Recent formWWLWLLLWWL
Win rate50%
Elo rating1634
Avg scored (recent)106.7
Avg conceded (recent)108.4

Miami Heat

Recent formLWLWWLWWLL
Win rate50%
Elo rating1563
Avg scored (recent)125.8
Avg conceded (recent)122.2

🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

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How BetEX AI analyses this fixture

BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.

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