Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Match completedOrlando Magic hosted Miami Heat in the NBA on Friday, October 16, 2026. This game has finished. Here is how the matchup stacked up — the head-to-head history and the form both teams carried in.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 7 wins for Orlando Magic against 3 for Miami Heat. That gives Orlando Magic the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 213.4 points per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Heat 121-95 Orlando Magic (2024-02-07); Orlando Magic 105-87 Miami Heat (2024-01-21); Miami Heat 99-96 Orlando Magic (2024-01-13).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-07 | Miami Heat | 121-95 | Orlando Magic |
| 2024-01-21 | Orlando Magic | 105-87 | Miami Heat |
| 2024-01-13 | Miami Heat | 99-96 | Orlando Magic |
| 2023-12-21 | Orlando Magic | 106-115 | Miami Heat |
| 2023-04-09 | Miami Heat | 123-110 | Orlando Magic |
Recent form
Orlando Magic come into this one having won 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 (W-L). Over that run they have scored 221 points and conceded 222. That works out to a 50% form rating over the period.
Miami Heat come into this one having won 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 (W). Over that run they have scored 136 points and conceded 120. That works out to a 100% form rating over the period.
Team statistics
Orlando Magic carry an Elo rating of 1634 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. Miami Heat carry an Elo rating of 1563 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.
Orlando Magic
| Recent form | WWLWLLLWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1634 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 106.7 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 108.4 |
Miami Heat
| Recent form | LWLWWLWWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1563 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 125.8 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 122.2 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.