Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans
Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Miami Heat host New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA on Thursday, October 8, 2026, starting at 23:30 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 8 wins for Miami Heat against 2 for New Orleans Pelicans. That gives Miami Heat the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 206.0 points per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Heat 88-111 New Orleans Pelicans (2024-03-23); New Orleans Pelicans 95-106 Miami Heat (2024-02-24); Miami Heat 100-96 New Orleans Pelicans (2023-01-22).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-23 | Miami Heat | 88-111 | New Orleans Pelicans |
| 2024-02-24 | New Orleans Pelicans | 95-106 | Miami Heat |
| 2023-01-22 | Miami Heat | 100-96 | New Orleans Pelicans |
| 2023-01-19 | New Orleans Pelicans | 98-124 | Miami Heat |
| 2022-02-11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 97-112 | Miami Heat |
Recent form
Miami Heat come into this one having won 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 (W). Over that run they have scored 136 points and conceded 120. That works out to a 100% form rating over the period.
New Orleans Pelicans come into this one having won 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 (W). Over that run they have scored 126 points and conceded 111. That works out to a 100% form rating over the period.
Team statistics
Miami Heat carry an Elo rating of 1528 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games. New Orleans Pelicans carry an Elo rating of 1387 in our model, and have won 10% of their recent games.
Miami Heat
| Recent form | LWWLLWLWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1528 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 126.4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 128.6 |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Recent form | LLWLLLLLLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 10% |
| Elo rating | 1387 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 115.9 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 126.3 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.