Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks
Monday, October 26, 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Miami Heat host Dallas Mavericks in the NBA on Monday, October 26, 2026, starting at 23:30 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 6 wins for Miami Heat against 4 for Dallas Mavericks. That gives Miami Heat the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 222.2 points per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Heat 92-111 Dallas Mavericks (2024-04-10); Dallas Mavericks 114-108 Miami Heat (2024-03-08); Miami Heat 129-122 Dallas Mavericks (2023-04-01).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-10 | Miami Heat | 92-111 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2024-03-08 | Dallas Mavericks | 114-108 | Miami Heat |
| 2023-04-01 | Miami Heat | 129-122 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2023-01-21 | Dallas Mavericks | 115-90 | Miami Heat |
| 2022-02-16 | Miami Heat | 99-107 | Dallas Mavericks |
Recent form
Miami Heat come into this one having won 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 (W). Over that run they have scored 136 points and conceded 120. That works out to a 100% form rating over the period.
Dallas Mavericks come into this one having won 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 (L). Over that run they have scored 134 points and conceded 130. That works out to a 0% form rating over the period.
Team statistics
Miami Heat carry an Elo rating of 1493 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games. Dallas Mavericks carry an Elo rating of 1316 in our model, and have won 30% of their recent games.
Miami Heat
| Recent form | LLWWLLWLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1493 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 124.2 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 126.8 |
Dallas Mavericks
| Recent form | LWLLLWLLLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 30% |
| Elo rating | 1316 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 114.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 122.9 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.