Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Atlanta Hawks host Miami Heat in the NBA on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, starting at 23:00 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 3 wins for Atlanta Hawks against 7 for Miami Heat. Historically, then, Miami Heat have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 227.1 points per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Atlanta Hawks 111-117 Miami Heat (2024-04-09); Miami Heat 108-109 Atlanta Hawks (2024-01-20); Miami Heat 122-113 Atlanta Hawks (2023-12-23).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | Atlanta Hawks | 111-117 | Miami Heat |
| 2024-01-20 | Miami Heat | 108-109 | Atlanta Hawks |
| 2023-12-23 | Miami Heat | 122-113 | Atlanta Hawks |
| 2023-11-12 | Atlanta Hawks | 109-117 | Miami Heat |
| 2023-04-11 | Miami Heat | 105-116 | Atlanta Hawks |
Recent form
Atlanta Hawks come into this one having won 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 (W). Over that run they have scored 115 points and conceded 104. That works out to a 100% form rating over the period.
Miami Heat come into this one having won 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 (W). Over that run they have scored 136 points and conceded 120. That works out to a 100% form rating over the period.
Team statistics
Atlanta Hawks carry an Elo rating of 1569 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games. Miami Heat carry an Elo rating of 1493 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games.
Atlanta Hawks
| Recent form | WLLLWWLLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1569 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 109.1 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 119.9 |
Miami Heat
| Recent form | LLWWLLWLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1493 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 124.2 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 126.8 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.