Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · 22:45 UTC
Washington Nationals host Toronto Blue Jays in MLB on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, starting at 22:45 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 14 times in our head-to-head records, with 8 wins for Washington Nationals against 6 for Toronto Blue Jays. That gives Washington Nationals the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 12.0 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Washington Nationals 11-8 Toronto Blue Jays (2024-05-05); Washington Nationals 3-6 Toronto Blue Jays (2024-05-04); Washington Nationals 9-3 Toronto Blue Jays (2024-05-03).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-05 | Washington Nationals | 11-8 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| 2024-05-04 | Washington Nationals | 3-6 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| 2024-05-03 | Washington Nationals | 9-3 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| 2023-08-30 | Toronto Blue Jays | 7-0 | Washington Nationals |
| 2023-08-29 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4-5 | Washington Nationals |
Team statistics
Washington Nationals carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Toronto Blue Jays carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games.
Washington Nationals
| Recent form | LWWLLWWLWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 7 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.8 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Recent form | WLWLWLLLLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 2.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.1 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.