Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Tuesday, September 15, 2026 · 22:46 UTC
Washington Nationals host Philadelphia Phillies in MLB on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, starting at 22:46 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Betting odds comparison
Across the 1 bookmaker we track for this fixture, Philadelphia Phillies are currently the market favourite, with a best available price of 1.45 at DraftKings — an implied probability of roughly 69%. The best price on Washington Nationals is 2.81 (DraftKings, implied ~36%).
| Bookmaker | Washington Nationals win | Philadelphia Phillies win |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.81 | 1.45 |
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 7 wins for Washington Nationals against 3 for Philadelphia Phillies. That gives Washington Nationals the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 9.4 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Washington Nationals 3-6 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-29); Washington Nationals 6-3 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-28); Washington Nationals 9-1 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-27).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-29 | Washington Nationals | 3-6 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-28 | Washington Nationals | 6-3 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-27 | Washington Nationals | 9-1 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-08-18 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4-6 | Washington Nationals |
| 2024-08-17 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5-1 | Washington Nationals |
Team statistics
Washington Nationals carry an Elo rating of 1483 in our model, and have won 30% of their recent games. Philadelphia Phillies carry an Elo rating of 1529 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games.
Washington Nationals
| Recent form | WWWLLLLLLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 30% |
| Elo rating | 1483 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.7 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.7 |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Recent form | WLLLWLWLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1529 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.9 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.