Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds
Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 19:07 UTC
Toronto Blue Jays host Cincinnati Reds in MLB on Sunday, September 27, 2026, starting at 19:07 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 9 times in our head-to-head records, with 4 wins for Toronto Blue Jays against 5 for Cincinnati Reds. Historically, then, Cincinnati Reds have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 8.1 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Toronto Blue Jays 7-11 Cincinnati Reds (2024-08-21); Toronto Blue Jays 10-3 Cincinnati Reds (2024-08-20); Toronto Blue Jays 3-6 Cincinnati Reds (2024-08-19).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-21 | Toronto Blue Jays | 7-11 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-08-20 | Toronto Blue Jays | 10-3 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-08-19 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3-6 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2023-08-20 | Cincinnati Reds | 3-10 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| 2023-08-19 | Cincinnati Reds | 3-4 | Toronto Blue Jays |
Team statistics
Toronto Blue Jays carry an Elo rating of 1494 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games. Cincinnati Reds carry an Elo rating of 1456 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games.
Toronto Blue Jays
| Recent form | LLWLLWLLWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1494 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.1 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.4 |
Cincinnati Reds
| Recent form | WLLWLWLLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1456 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.5 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.2 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.