Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres
Friday, August 28, 2026 · 23:10 UTC
Tampa Bay Rays host San Diego Padres in MLB on Friday, August 28, 2026, starting at 23:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 6 times in our head-to-head records, with 4 wins for Tampa Bay Rays against 2 for San Diego Padres. That gives Tampa Bay Rays the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 9.8 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Tampa Bay Rays 3-4 San Diego Padres (2024-09-01); Tampa Bay Rays 11-4 San Diego Padres (2024-08-31); Tampa Bay Rays 5-13 San Diego Padres (2024-08-30).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-01 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3-4 | San Diego Padres |
| 2024-08-31 | Tampa Bay Rays | 11-4 | San Diego Padres |
| 2024-08-30 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5-13 | San Diego Padres |
| 2023-06-18 | San Diego Padres | 5-4 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2023-06-17 | San Diego Padres | 2-0 | Tampa Bay Rays |
Team statistics
Tampa Bay Rays carry an Elo rating of 1522 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. San Diego Padres carry an Elo rating of 1519 in our model, and have won 70% of their recent games.
Tampa Bay Rays
| Recent form | WLWLLLWWWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1522 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 6.2 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.8 |
San Diego Padres
| Recent form | LWLWLWWWWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 70% |
| Elo rating | 1519 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.6 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 2.8 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.