Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets
Monday, August 31, 2026 · 22:40 UTC
Tampa Bay Rays host New York Mets in MLB on Monday, August 31, 2026, starting at 22:40 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 2 wins for Tampa Bay Rays against 8 for New York Mets. Historically, then, New York Mets have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 11.1 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Tampa Bay Rays 7-6 New York Mets (2024-05-05); Tampa Bay Rays 3-1 New York Mets (2024-05-04); Tampa Bay Rays 10-8 New York Mets (2024-05-03).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-05 | Tampa Bay Rays | 7-6 | New York Mets |
| 2024-05-04 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3-1 | New York Mets |
| 2024-05-03 | Tampa Bay Rays | 10-8 | New York Mets |
| 2023-05-18 | New York Mets | 3-2 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2023-05-17 | New York Mets | 8-7 | Tampa Bay Rays |
Team statistics
Tampa Bay Rays carry an Elo rating of 1520 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games. New York Mets carry an Elo rating of 1497 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games.
Tampa Bay Rays
| Recent form | WWLLLWLWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1520 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.7 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.1 |
New York Mets
| Recent form | LWLWLWWWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1497 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.9 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.5 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.