Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 23:10 UTC
Tampa Bay Rays host Houston Astros in MLB on Friday, September 11, 2026, starting at 23:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 6 wins for Tampa Bay Rays against 4 for Houston Astros. That gives Tampa Bay Rays the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 6.7 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Tampa Bay Rays 1-2 Houston Astros (2024-08-14); Tampa Bay Rays 2-3 Houston Astros (2024-08-13); Tampa Bay Rays 1-6 Houston Astros (2024-08-12).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-14 | Tampa Bay Rays | 1-2 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-08-13 | Tampa Bay Rays | 2-3 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-08-12 | Tampa Bay Rays | 1-6 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-08-04 | Houston Astros | 0-1 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2024-08-03 | Houston Astros | 1-6 | Tampa Bay Rays |
Team statistics
Tampa Bay Rays carry an Elo rating of 1518 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Houston Astros carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 70% of their recent games.
Tampa Bay Rays
| Recent form | LLWLWWWWLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1518 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.1 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4 |
Houston Astros
| Recent form | WWLWWLWWLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 70% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.7 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.