San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 01:40 UTC
San Diego Padres host Miami Marlins in MLB on Saturday, September 19, 2026, starting at 01:40 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 3 wins for San Diego Padres against 7 for Miami Marlins. Historically, then, Miami Marlins have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 8.1 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Marlins 7-6 San Diego Padres (2024-08-11); Miami Marlins 8-9 San Diego Padres (2024-08-10); Miami Marlins 2-6 San Diego Padres (2024-08-09).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-11 | Miami Marlins | 7-6 | San Diego Padres |
| 2024-08-10 | Miami Marlins | 8-9 | San Diego Padres |
| 2024-08-09 | Miami Marlins | 2-6 | San Diego Padres |
| 2024-05-29 | San Diego Padres | 1-9 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-05-29 | San Diego Padres | 4-0 | Miami Marlins |
Team statistics
San Diego Padres carry an Elo rating of 1523 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Miami Marlins carry an Elo rating of 1496 in our model, and have won 30% of their recent games.
San Diego Padres
| Recent form | WWWWWLLLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1523 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.4 |
Miami Marlins
| Recent form | LLLWLLLWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 30% |
| Elo rating | 1496 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 6 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 6.8 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.