Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · 22:42 UTC
Match completedPhiladelphia Phillies hosted Washington Nationals in MLB on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. This game has finished. Here is how the matchup stacked up — the head-to-head history and the form both teams carried in.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 79 times in our head-to-head records, with 52 wins for Philadelphia Phillies against 22 for Washington Nationals. That gives Philadelphia Phillies the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 9.4 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Washington Nationals 3-6 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-29); Washington Nationals 6-3 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-28); Washington Nationals 9-1 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-27).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-29 | Washington Nationals | 3-6 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-28 | Washington Nationals | 6-3 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-27 | Washington Nationals | 9-1 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-08-18 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4-6 | Washington Nationals |
| 2024-08-17 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5-1 | Washington Nationals |
Team statistics
Philadelphia Phillies carry an Elo rating of 1511 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. Washington Nationals carry an Elo rating of 1491 in our model, and have won 20% of their recent games.
Philadelphia Phillies
| Recent form | WWWWLLLLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1511 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.3 |
Washington Nationals
| Recent form | LLLLLLLWLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 20% |
| Elo rating | 1491 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.6 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.5 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.