Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 23:15 UTC
Philadelphia Phillies host Tampa Bay Rays in MLB on Saturday, September 26, 2026, starting at 23:15 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 6 wins for Philadelphia Phillies against 4 for Tampa Bay Rays. That gives Philadelphia Phillies the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 7.6 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Philadelphia Phillies 3-2 Tampa Bay Rays (2024-09-11); Philadelphia Phillies 9-4 Tampa Bay Rays (2024-09-10); Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 Tampa Bay Rays (2024-09-09).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-11 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3-2 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2024-09-10 | Philadelphia Phillies | 9-4 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2024-09-09 | Philadelphia Phillies | 2-1 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2024-03-25 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3-6 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2024-03-21 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5-6 | Tampa Bay Rays |
Team statistics
Philadelphia Phillies carry an Elo rating of 1530 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. Tampa Bay Rays carry an Elo rating of 1542 in our model, and have won 80% of their recent games.
Philadelphia Phillies
| Recent form | WWLLWWLWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1530 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Recent form | LWWWLWWWWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 80% |
| Elo rating | 1542 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.8 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 2 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.