Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
Monday, August 17, 2026 · 22:40 UTC
Philadelphia Phillies host Miami Marlins in MLB on Monday, August 17, 2026, starting at 22:40 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 5 wins for Philadelphia Phillies against 5 for Miami Marlins. Historically this fixture could hardly be more even. Meetings between the two average 10.0 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Marlins 10-1 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-08); Miami Marlins 9-5 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-07); Miami Marlins 2-16 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-06).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-08 | Miami Marlins | 10-1 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-07 | Miami Marlins | 9-5 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-06 | Miami Marlins | 2-16 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-05 | Miami Marlins | 2-5 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-08-14 | Philadelphia Phillies | 9-5 | Miami Marlins |
Team statistics
Philadelphia Phillies carry an Elo rating of 1507 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Miami Marlins carry an Elo rating of 1503 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.
Philadelphia Phillies
| Recent form | WLLWLWWWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1507 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.5 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4 |
Miami Marlins
| Recent form | WWLLLLWWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1503 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.4 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.