Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Friday, September 4, 2026 · 22:40 UTC
Philadelphia Phillies host Atlanta Braves in MLB on Friday, September 4, 2026, starting at 22:40 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 5 wins for Philadelphia Phillies against 5 for Atlanta Braves. Historically this fixture could hardly be more even. Meetings between the two average 6.6 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Philadelphia Phillies 3-2 Atlanta Braves (2024-09-01); Philadelphia Phillies 3-0 Atlanta Braves (2024-08-31); Philadelphia Phillies 2-7 Atlanta Braves (2024-08-30).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-01 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3-2 | Atlanta Braves |
| 2024-08-31 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3-0 | Atlanta Braves |
| 2024-08-30 | Philadelphia Phillies | 2-7 | Atlanta Braves |
| 2024-08-29 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5-4 | Atlanta Braves |
| 2024-08-22 | Atlanta Braves | 3-2 | Philadelphia Phillies |
Team statistics
Philadelphia Phillies carry an Elo rating of 1522 in our model, and have won 80% of their recent games. Atlanta Braves carry an Elo rating of 1545 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.
Philadelphia Phillies
| Recent form | LWLWWWWWWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 80% |
| Elo rating | 1522 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.7 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.1 |
Atlanta Braves
| Recent form | WWWWLLWLLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1545 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 2.6 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.