New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
Monday, August 17, 2026 · 23:10 UTC
New York Mets host San Diego Padres in MLB on Monday, August 17, 2026, starting at 23:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 6 wins for New York Mets against 4 for San Diego Padres. That gives New York Mets the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 8.1 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: San Diego Padres 3-2 New York Mets (2024-08-25); San Diego Padres 1-7 New York Mets (2024-08-25); San Diego Padres 7-0 New York Mets (2024-08-24).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-25 | San Diego Padres | 3-2 | New York Mets |
| 2024-08-25 | San Diego Padres | 1-7 | New York Mets |
| 2024-08-24 | San Diego Padres | 7-0 | New York Mets |
| 2024-08-23 | San Diego Padres | 3-8 | New York Mets |
| 2024-06-16 | New York Mets | 11-6 | San Diego Padres |
Team statistics
New York Mets carry an Elo rating of 1490 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. San Diego Padres carry an Elo rating of 1510 in our model, and have won 70% of their recent games.
New York Mets
| Recent form | WLWWWWLLLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1490 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.2 |
San Diego Padres
| Recent form | WLWWLWLWWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 70% |
| Elo rating | 1510 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.9 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.