New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
Thursday, September 17, 2026 · 23:15 UTC
New York Mets host Philadelphia Phillies in MLB on Thursday, September 17, 2026, starting at 23:15 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 6 wins for New York Mets against 4 for Philadelphia Phillies. That gives New York Mets the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 10.0 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: New York Mets 2-1 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-22); New York Mets 6-3 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-21); New York Mets 2-12 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-09-20).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-22 | New York Mets | 2-1 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-21 | New York Mets | 6-3 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-20 | New York Mets | 2-12 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-19 | New York Mets | 10-6 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-09-15 | Philadelphia Phillies | 2-1 | New York Mets |
Team statistics
New York Mets carry an Elo rating of 1501 in our model, and have won 70% of their recent games. Philadelphia Phillies carry an Elo rating of 1532 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games.
New York Mets
| Recent form | WWWWLWWLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 70% |
| Elo rating | 1501 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 6.8 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.8 |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Recent form | WLWLWLWLWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1532 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.