New York Mets vs Miami Marlins
Sunday, August 2, 2026 · 17:40 UTC
New York Mets host Miami Marlins in MLB on Sunday, August 2, 2026, starting at 17:40 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 81 times in our head-to-head records, with 46 wins for New York Mets against 30 for Miami Marlins. That gives New York Mets the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 7.1 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: New York Mets 2-3 Miami Marlins (2024-08-18); New York Mets 4-0 Miami Marlins (2024-08-17); New York Mets 7-3 Miami Marlins (2024-08-16).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-18 | New York Mets | 2-3 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-08-17 | New York Mets | 4-0 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-08-16 | New York Mets | 7-3 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-07-22 | Miami Marlins | 4-6 | New York Mets |
| 2024-07-21 | Miami Marlins | 4-2 | New York Mets |
Team statistics
New York Mets carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. Miami Marlins carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 10% of their recent games.
New York Mets
| Recent form | WWLLLWLWLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.8 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.4 |
Miami Marlins
| Recent form | WLLLLLLLLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 10% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.4 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on New York Mets vs Miami Marlins
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.