New York Mets vs Houston Astros
Friday, August 28, 2026 · 23:10 UTC
New York Mets host Houston Astros in MLB on Friday, August 28, 2026, starting at 23:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 8 wins for New York Mets against 2 for Houston Astros. That gives New York Mets the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 11.3 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: New York Mets 5-10 Houston Astros (2024-06-30); New York Mets 6-9 Houston Astros (2024-06-29); New York Mets 7-2 Houston Astros (2024-06-28).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-30 | New York Mets | 5-10 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-06-29 | New York Mets | 6-9 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-06-28 | New York Mets | 7-2 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-03-23 | New York Mets | 5-13 | Houston Astros |
| 2023-06-21 | Houston Astros | 10-8 | New York Mets |
Team statistics
New York Mets carry an Elo rating of 1495 in our model, and have won 70% of their recent games. Houston Astros carry an Elo rating of 1497 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.
New York Mets
| Recent form | WLWWWWLLWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 70% |
| Elo rating | 1495 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.2 |
Houston Astros
| Recent form | WLLWLLWWLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1497 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.8 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.3 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on New York Mets vs Houston Astros
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.