New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 · 23:11 UTC
New York Mets host Baltimore Orioles in MLB on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, starting at 23:11 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Betting odds comparison
Across the 1 bookmaker we track for this fixture, New York Mets are currently the market favourite, with a best available price of 1.85 at DraftKings — an implied probability of roughly 54%. The best price on Baltimore Orioles is 1.97 (DraftKings, implied ~51%).
| Bookmaker | New York Mets win | Baltimore Orioles win |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.85 | 1.97 |
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 5 wins for New York Mets against 5 for Baltimore Orioles. Historically this fixture could hardly be more even. Meetings between the two average 9.4 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: New York Mets 4-3 Baltimore Orioles (2024-08-21); New York Mets 5-9 Baltimore Orioles (2024-08-20); New York Mets 4-3 Baltimore Orioles (2024-08-19).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-21 | New York Mets | 4-3 | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2024-08-20 | New York Mets | 5-9 | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2024-08-19 | New York Mets | 4-3 | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2023-08-06 | Baltimore Orioles | 2-0 | New York Mets |
| 2023-08-05 | Baltimore Orioles | 7-3 | New York Mets |
Team statistics
New York Mets carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. Baltimore Orioles carry an Elo rating of 1495 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.
New York Mets
| Recent form | LLLWLWWWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 6.2 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.3 |
Baltimore Orioles
| Recent form | WWLLWWLWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1495 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.1 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.1 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.