Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
Friday, August 21, 2026 · 23:10 UTC
Miami Marlins host Washington Nationals in MLB on Friday, August 21, 2026, starting at 23:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 2 wins for Miami Marlins against 8 for Washington Nationals. Historically, then, Washington Nationals have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 6.7 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Washington Nationals 4-3 Miami Marlins (2024-09-15); Washington Nationals 4-1 Miami Marlins (2024-09-14); Washington Nationals 4-1 Miami Marlins (2024-09-13).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-15 | Washington Nationals | 4-3 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-09-14 | Washington Nationals | 4-1 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-09-13 | Washington Nationals | 4-1 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-09-12 | Washington Nationals | 3-6 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-09-04 | Miami Marlins | 4-3 | Washington Nationals |
Team statistics
Miami Marlins carry an Elo rating of 1503 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. Washington Nationals carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.
Miami Marlins
| Recent form | LWWWWLLLLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1503 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.1 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.1 |
Washington Nationals
| Recent form | WLLWWWLWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.5 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.8 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.