Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 · 22:41 UTC
Miami Marlins host Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, starting at 22:41 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 2 wins for Miami Marlins against 8 for Pittsburgh Pirates. Historically, then, Pittsburgh Pirates have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 8.7 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Pittsburgh Pirates 3-1 Miami Marlins (2024-09-11); Pittsburgh Pirates 6-4 Miami Marlins (2024-09-10); Pittsburgh Pirates 3-2 Miami Marlins (2024-09-09).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-1 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-09-10 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 6-4 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-09-09 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-2 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-03-31 | Miami Marlins | 7-9 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| 2024-03-30 | Miami Marlins | 3-9 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
Team statistics
Miami Marlins carry an Elo rating of 1503 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. Pittsburgh Pirates carry an Elo rating of 1498 in our model, and have won 30% of their recent games.
Miami Marlins
| Recent form | WWLLLLWWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1503 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.4 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Recent form | LWLLLLWLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 30% |
| Elo rating | 1498 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.7 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.2 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.