Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 · 22:40 UTC
Miami Marlins host Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, starting at 22:40 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 28 times in our head-to-head records, with 11 wins for Miami Marlins against 17 for Pittsburgh Pirates. Historically, then, Pittsburgh Pirates have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 8.7 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Pittsburgh Pirates 3-1 Miami Marlins (2024-09-11); Pittsburgh Pirates 6-4 Miami Marlins (2024-09-10); Pittsburgh Pirates 3-2 Miami Marlins (2024-09-09).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-1 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-09-10 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 6-4 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-09-09 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-2 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-03-31 | Miami Marlins | 7-9 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| 2024-03-30 | Miami Marlins | 3-9 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
Team statistics
Miami Marlins carry an Elo rating of 1503 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Pittsburgh Pirates carry an Elo rating of 1505 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games.
Miami Marlins
| Recent form | LWWWLWWWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1503 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.9 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.7 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Recent form | LWLWLLLLWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1505 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.9 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.9 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.