Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs
Friday, September 4, 2026 · 23:10 UTC
Miami Marlins host Chicago Cubs in MLB on Friday, September 4, 2026, starting at 23:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 9 times in our head-to-head records, with 5 wins for Miami Marlins against 4 for Chicago Cubs. That gives Miami Marlins the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 8.2 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Marlins 7-2 Chicago Cubs (2024-08-25); Miami Marlins 2-14 Chicago Cubs (2024-08-24); Miami Marlins 3-6 Chicago Cubs (2024-08-23).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-25 | Miami Marlins | 7-2 | Chicago Cubs |
| 2024-08-24 | Miami Marlins | 2-14 | Chicago Cubs |
| 2024-08-23 | Miami Marlins | 3-6 | Chicago Cubs |
| 2024-04-21 | Chicago Cubs | 3-6 | Miami Marlins |
| 2024-04-20 | Chicago Cubs | 5-3 | Miami Marlins |
Team statistics
Miami Marlins carry an Elo rating of 1507 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. Chicago Cubs carry an Elo rating of 1542 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games.
Miami Marlins
| Recent form | WLLWWWLLLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1507 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.9 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.4 |
Chicago Cubs
| Recent form | LLWWLLWLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1542 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.2 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.