Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox
Monday, August 24, 2026 · 22:40 UTC
Miami Marlins host Boston Red Sox in MLB on Monday, August 24, 2026, starting at 22:40 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 9 times in our head-to-head records, with 6 wins for Miami Marlins against 3 for Boston Red Sox. That gives Miami Marlins the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 7.1 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Marlins 5-6 Boston Red Sox (2024-07-04); Miami Marlins 2-7 Boston Red Sox (2024-07-03); Miami Marlins 3-8 Boston Red Sox (2024-07-02).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-04 | Miami Marlins | 5-6 | Boston Red Sox |
| 2024-07-03 | Miami Marlins | 2-7 | Boston Red Sox |
| 2024-07-02 | Miami Marlins | 3-8 | Boston Red Sox |
| 2023-06-29 | Boston Red Sox | 0-2 | Miami Marlins |
| 2023-06-28 | Boston Red Sox | 2-6 | Miami Marlins |
Team statistics
Miami Marlins carry an Elo rating of 1508 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Boston Red Sox carry an Elo rating of 1534 in our model, and have won 30% of their recent games.
Miami Marlins
| Recent form | WWLLWWWWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1508 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.1 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.9 |
Boston Red Sox
| Recent form | LWLWLLLLLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 30% |
| Elo rating | 1534 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.5 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.1 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.