Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · 00:10 UTC
Houston Astros host Toronto Blue Jays in MLB on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, starting at 00:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 26 times in our head-to-head records, with 14 wins for Houston Astros against 12 for Toronto Blue Jays. That gives Houston Astros the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 7.3 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Toronto Blue Jays 3-5 Houston Astros (2024-07-04); Toronto Blue Jays 2-9 Houston Astros (2024-07-03); Toronto Blue Jays 7-6 Houston Astros (2024-07-02).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-04 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3-5 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-07-03 | Toronto Blue Jays | 2-9 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-07-02 | Toronto Blue Jays | 7-6 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-07-01 | Toronto Blue Jays | 1-3 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-04-04 | Houston Astros | 8-0 | Toronto Blue Jays |
Team statistics
Houston Astros carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Toronto Blue Jays carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games.
Houston Astros
| Recent form | WLWWWWWLLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.6 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.4 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Recent form | WLWLWLLLLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 2.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.1 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.