Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners
Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 23:20 UTC
Houston Astros host Seattle Mariners in MLB on Sunday, August 16, 2026, starting at 23:20 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 4 wins for Houston Astros against 6 for Seattle Mariners. Historically, then, Seattle Mariners have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 6.0 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Houston Astros 1-8 Seattle Mariners (2024-09-25); Houston Astros 4-3 Seattle Mariners (2024-09-25); Houston Astros 1-6 Seattle Mariners (2024-09-24).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | Houston Astros | 1-8 | Seattle Mariners |
| 2024-09-25 | Houston Astros | 4-3 | Seattle Mariners |
| 2024-09-24 | Houston Astros | 1-6 | Seattle Mariners |
| 2024-07-21 | Seattle Mariners | 6-4 | Houston Astros |
| 2024-07-21 | Seattle Mariners | 2-4 | Houston Astros |
Team statistics
Houston Astros carry an Elo rating of 1505 in our model, and have won 70% of their recent games. Seattle Mariners carry an Elo rating of 1474 in our model, and have won 30% of their recent games.
Houston Astros
| Recent form | WLWLLWWWWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 70% |
| Elo rating | 1505 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.1 |
Seattle Mariners
| Recent form | LLWLLWLWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 30% |
| Elo rating | 1474 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 2.5 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.