Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · 22:40 UTC
Cleveland Guardians host New York Mets in MLB on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, starting at 22:40 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 7 times in our head-to-head records, with 3 wins for Cleveland Guardians against 3 for New York Mets. Historically this fixture could hardly be more even. Meetings between the two average 8.1 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Cleveland Guardians 6-3 New York Mets (2024-05-22); Cleveland Guardians 7-6 New York Mets (2024-05-21); Cleveland Guardians 3-1 New York Mets (2024-05-20).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-22 | Cleveland Guardians | 6-3 | New York Mets |
| 2024-05-21 | Cleveland Guardians | 7-6 | New York Mets |
| 2024-05-20 | Cleveland Guardians | 3-1 | New York Mets |
| 2023-05-21 | New York Mets | 2-1 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2023-05-21 | New York Mets | 5-4 | Cleveland Guardians |
Team statistics
Cleveland Guardians carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 30% of their recent games. New York Mets carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.
Cleveland Guardians
| Recent form | LLLLLWWLLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 30% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.5 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.1 |
New York Mets
| Recent form | WWLLLWLWLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.8 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.4 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.