Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Thursday, July 30, 2026 · 23:10 UTC
Cincinnati Reds host Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB on Thursday, July 30, 2026, starting at 23:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 79 times in our head-to-head records, with 37 wins for Cincinnati Reds against 37 for Pittsburgh Pirates. Historically this fixture could hardly be more even. Meetings between the two average 9.5 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Cincinnati Reds 0-2 Pittsburgh Pirates (2024-09-22); Cincinnati Reds 7-1 Pittsburgh Pirates (2024-09-21); Cincinnati Reds 8-3 Pittsburgh Pirates (2024-09-20).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-22 | Cincinnati Reds | 0-2 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| 2024-09-21 | Cincinnati Reds | 7-1 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| 2024-09-20 | Cincinnati Reds | 8-3 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| 2024-08-25 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4-3 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-08-24 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-10 | Cincinnati Reds |
Team statistics
Cincinnati Reds carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Pittsburgh Pirates carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.
Cincinnati Reds
| Recent form | WWLWWLWWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.1 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.1 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Recent form | WWLLWLLWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.3 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.