Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins
Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 17:40 UTC
Cincinnati Reds host Miami Marlins in MLB on Sunday, August 16, 2026, starting at 17:40 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 6 wins for Cincinnati Reds against 4 for Miami Marlins. That gives Cincinnati Reds the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 10.0 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Marlins 4-10 Cincinnati Reds (2024-08-08); Miami Marlins 6-4 Cincinnati Reds (2024-08-07); Miami Marlins 2-8 Cincinnati Reds (2024-08-06).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-08 | Miami Marlins | 4-10 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-08-07 | Miami Marlins | 6-4 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-08-06 | Miami Marlins | 2-8 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-08-05 | Miami Marlins | 3-10 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-07-14 | Cincinnati Reds | 2-3 | Miami Marlins |
Team statistics
Cincinnati Reds carry an Elo rating of 1473 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Miami Marlins carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.
Cincinnati Reds
| Recent form | LLWWWWLWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1473 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.2 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.5 |
Miami Marlins
| Recent form | WLLLLWWWLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.9 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.7 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.