Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins
Friday, August 14, 2026 · 22:10 UTC
Cincinnati Reds host Miami Marlins in MLB on Friday, August 14, 2026, starting at 22:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 27 times in our head-to-head records, with 17 wins for Cincinnati Reds against 10 for Miami Marlins. That gives Cincinnati Reds the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 10.0 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Miami Marlins 4-10 Cincinnati Reds (2024-08-08); Miami Marlins 6-4 Cincinnati Reds (2024-08-07); Miami Marlins 2-8 Cincinnati Reds (2024-08-06).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-08 | Miami Marlins | 4-10 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-08-07 | Miami Marlins | 6-4 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-08-06 | Miami Marlins | 2-8 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-08-05 | Miami Marlins | 3-10 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-07-14 | Cincinnati Reds | 2-3 | Miami Marlins |
Team statistics
Cincinnati Reds carry an Elo rating of 1478 in our model, and have won 70% of their recent games. Miami Marlins carry an Elo rating of 1498 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games.
Cincinnati Reds
| Recent form | WWWWLWWLLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 70% |
| Elo rating | 1478 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.8 |
Miami Marlins
| Recent form | LLLWWWLWWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1498 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.8 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.