Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · 23:10 UTC
Cincinnati Reds host Cleveland Guardians in MLB on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, starting at 23:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 14 times in our head-to-head records, with 5 wins for Cincinnati Reds against 8 for Cleveland Guardians. Historically, then, Cleveland Guardians have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 8.8 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Cleveland Guardians 5-2 Cincinnati Reds (2024-09-25); Cleveland Guardians 6-1 Cincinnati Reds (2024-09-24); Cincinnati Reds 4-2 Cleveland Guardians (2024-06-12).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | Cleveland Guardians | 5-2 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-09-24 | Cleveland Guardians | 6-1 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-06-12 | Cincinnati Reds | 4-2 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2024-06-11 | Cincinnati Reds | 3-5 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2024-03-24 | Cincinnati Reds | 7-10 | Cleveland Guardians |
Team statistics
Cincinnati Reds carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Cleveland Guardians carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 30% of their recent games.
Cincinnati Reds
| Recent form | WWLWWLWWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.1 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.1 |
Cleveland Guardians
| Recent form | LLLLLWWLLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 30% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.5 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.1 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.