Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Friday, August 28, 2026 · 18:20 UTC
Chicago Cubs host Cincinnati Reds in MLB on Friday, August 28, 2026, starting at 18:20 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 4 wins for Chicago Cubs against 6 for Cincinnati Reds. Historically, then, Cincinnati Reds have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 7.1 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Chicago Cubs 0-3 Cincinnati Reds (2024-09-29); Chicago Cubs 3-0 Cincinnati Reds (2024-09-28); Chicago Cubs 1-0 Cincinnati Reds (2024-09-27).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-29 | Chicago Cubs | 0-3 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-09-28 | Chicago Cubs | 3-0 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-09-27 | Chicago Cubs | 1-0 | Cincinnati Reds |
| 2024-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds | 4-13 | Chicago Cubs |
| 2024-07-30 | Cincinnati Reds | 6-3 | Chicago Cubs |
Team statistics
Chicago Cubs carry an Elo rating of 1539 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Cincinnati Reds carry an Elo rating of 1464 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.
Chicago Cubs
| Recent form | WLWLLWLWWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1539 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.2 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.1 |
Cincinnati Reds
| Recent form | WLLWLLWWLW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% |
| Elo rating | 1464 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.2 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.6 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.