Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 · 23:10 UTC
Boston Red Sox host Cleveland Guardians in MLB on Wednesday, September 23, 2026, starting at 23:10 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 3 wins for Boston Red Sox against 7 for Cleveland Guardians. Historically, then, Cleveland Guardians have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 8.6 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Cleveland Guardians 6-4 Boston Red Sox (2024-04-25); Cleveland Guardians 0-8 Boston Red Sox (2024-04-24); Cleveland Guardians 4-1 Boston Red Sox (2024-04-23).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-25 | Cleveland Guardians | 6-4 | Boston Red Sox |
| 2024-04-24 | Cleveland Guardians | 0-8 | Boston Red Sox |
| 2024-04-23 | Cleveland Guardians | 4-1 | Boston Red Sox |
| 2024-04-18 | Boston Red Sox | 4-5 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2024-04-17 | Boston Red Sox | 2-0 | Cleveland Guardians |
Team statistics
Boston Red Sox carry an Elo rating of 1529 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games. Cleveland Guardians carry an Elo rating of 1505 in our model, and have won 70% of their recent games.
Boston Red Sox
| Recent form | LLWWLLWWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1529 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.4 |
Cleveland Guardians
| Recent form | WWWWWLWWLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 70% |
| Elo rating | 1505 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.6 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.2 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.