Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Boston Red Sox host Chicago Cubs in MLB on Friday, September 25, 2026, starting at 22:00 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 9 times in our head-to-head records, with 5 wins for Boston Red Sox against 4 for Chicago Cubs. That gives Boston Red Sox the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 10.7 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Boston Red Sox 5-4 Chicago Cubs (2024-04-28); Boston Red Sox 17-0 Chicago Cubs (2024-04-27); Boston Red Sox 1-7 Chicago Cubs (2024-04-26).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-28 | Boston Red Sox | 5-4 | Chicago Cubs |
| 2024-04-27 | Boston Red Sox | 17-0 | Chicago Cubs |
| 2024-04-26 | Boston Red Sox | 1-7 | Chicago Cubs |
| 2023-07-16 | Chicago Cubs | 5-11 | Boston Red Sox |
| 2023-07-15 | Chicago Cubs | 10-4 | Boston Red Sox |
Team statistics
Boston Red Sox carry an Elo rating of 1527 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games. Chicago Cubs carry an Elo rating of 1540 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games.
Boston Red Sox
| Recent form | LLLWWLLWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1527 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 2.8 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.1 |
Chicago Cubs
| Recent form | LWWLWLWLWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1540 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.7 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.9 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.