Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays
Monday, September 21, 2026 · 22:35 UTC
Baltimore Orioles host Toronto Blue Jays in MLB on Monday, September 21, 2026, starting at 22:35 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 5 wins for Baltimore Orioles against 5 for Toronto Blue Jays. Historically this fixture could hardly be more even. Meetings between the two average 10.7 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Toronto Blue Jays 7-6 Baltimore Orioles (2024-08-08); Toronto Blue Jays 3-7 Baltimore Orioles (2024-08-07); Toronto Blue Jays 5-2 Baltimore Orioles (2024-08-06).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-08 | Toronto Blue Jays | 7-6 | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2024-08-07 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3-7 | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2024-08-06 | Toronto Blue Jays | 5-2 | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2024-07-31 | Baltimore Orioles | 10-4 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| 2024-07-30 | Baltimore Orioles | 6-2 | Toronto Blue Jays |
Team statistics
Baltimore Orioles carry an Elo rating of 1491 in our model, and have won 30% of their recent games. Toronto Blue Jays carry an Elo rating of 1503 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games.
Baltimore Orioles
| Recent form | LLWWLWLLLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 30% |
| Elo rating | 1491 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.7 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 5.2 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Recent form | WWLWLLLWWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1503 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.8 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.5 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.