Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays
Friday, August 21, 2026 · 23:15 UTC
Baltimore Orioles host Tampa Bay Rays in MLB on Friday, August 21, 2026, starting at 23:15 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 7 wins for Baltimore Orioles against 3 for Tampa Bay Rays. That gives Baltimore Orioles the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 6.4 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Baltimore Orioles 0-2 Tampa Bay Rays (2024-09-08); Baltimore Orioles 1-7 Tampa Bay Rays (2024-09-07); Baltimore Orioles 2-0 Tampa Bay Rays (2024-09-06).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-08 | Baltimore Orioles | 0-2 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2024-09-07 | Baltimore Orioles | 1-7 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2024-09-06 | Baltimore Orioles | 2-0 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2024-08-11 | Tampa Bay Rays | 2-1 | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2024-08-10 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5-7 | Baltimore Orioles |
Team statistics
Baltimore Orioles carry an Elo rating of 1493 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games. Tampa Bay Rays carry an Elo rating of 1533 in our model, and have won 90% of their recent games.
Baltimore Orioles
| Recent form | LWLWLLLWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1493 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 3.6 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.5 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Recent form | WWWWWWWWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 90% |
| Elo rating | 1533 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 6.6 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.3 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.