Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies
Friday, July 31, 2026 · 23:05 UTC
Baltimore Orioles host Philadelphia Phillies in MLB on Friday, July 31, 2026, starting at 23:05 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 13 times in our head-to-head records, with 8 wins for Baltimore Orioles against 5 for Philadelphia Phillies. That gives Baltimore Orioles the historical edge in this matchup. Meetings between the two average 8.0 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Baltimore Orioles 8-3 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-06-16); Baltimore Orioles 6-2 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-06-15); Baltimore Orioles 3-5 Philadelphia Phillies (2024-06-14).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-16 | Baltimore Orioles | 8-3 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-06-15 | Baltimore Orioles | 6-2 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-06-14 | Baltimore Orioles | 3-5 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2024-03-20 | Baltimore Orioles | 13-4 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 2023-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies | 6-4 | Baltimore Orioles |
Team statistics
Baltimore Orioles carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 60% of their recent games. Philadelphia Phillies carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 30% of their recent games.
Baltimore Orioles
| Recent form | WLWLLWLWWW |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.6 |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Recent form | LWLLLLWLWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 30% |
| Elo rating | 1500 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.3 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.5 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.