Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
Thursday, September 3, 2026 · 23:15 UTC
Baltimore Orioles host Boston Red Sox in MLB on Thursday, September 3, 2026, starting at 23:15 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.
Head-to-head record
These two sides have met 10 times in our head-to-head records, with 5 wins for Baltimore Orioles against 5 for Boston Red Sox. Historically this fixture could hardly be more even. Meetings between the two average 10.3 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Boston Red Sox 5-3 Baltimore Orioles (2024-09-11); Boston Red Sox 3-5 Baltimore Orioles (2024-09-10); Boston Red Sox 12-3 Baltimore Orioles (2024-09-09).
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-11 | Boston Red Sox | 5-3 | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2024-09-10 | Boston Red Sox | 3-5 | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2024-09-09 | Boston Red Sox | 12-3 | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2024-08-18 | Baltimore Orioles | 4-2 | Boston Red Sox |
| 2024-08-17 | Baltimore Orioles | 1-5 | Boston Red Sox |
Team statistics
Baltimore Orioles carry an Elo rating of 1499 in our model, and have won 40% of their recent games. Boston Red Sox carry an Elo rating of 1545 in our model, and have won 70% of their recent games.
Baltimore Orioles
| Recent form | LWWLWWLLLL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% |
| Elo rating | 1499 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 4.6 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 4.4 |
Boston Red Sox
| Recent form | LWWWWWLWWL |
|---|---|
| Win rate | 70% |
| Elo rating | 1545 |
| Avg scored (recent) | 5.4 |
| Avg conceded (recent) | 3.9 |
🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:
- AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
- Model confidence score
- Key factors behind the call
- Value-bet detection against the market odds
How BetEX AI analyses this fixture
BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.
Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.