MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · 01:40 UTC

Arizona Diamondbacks host San Diego Padres in MLB on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, starting at 01:40 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.

Head-to-head record

These two sides have met 74 times in our head-to-head records, with 31 wins for Arizona Diamondbacks against 43 for San Diego Padres. Historically, then, San Diego Padres have had the better of this fixture. Meetings between the two average 11.2 runs per game. Their most recent meetings on record: Arizona Diamondbacks 11-2 San Diego Padres (2024-09-29); Arizona Diamondbacks 0-5 San Diego Padres (2024-09-29); Arizona Diamondbacks 3-5 San Diego Padres (2024-09-28).

DateHomeScoreAway
2024-09-29Arizona Diamondbacks11-2San Diego Padres
2024-09-29Arizona Diamondbacks0-5San Diego Padres
2024-09-28Arizona Diamondbacks3-5San Diego Padres
2024-07-07San Diego Padres1-9Arizona Diamondbacks
2024-07-07San Diego Padres5-7Arizona Diamondbacks

Team statistics

Arizona Diamondbacks carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games. San Diego Padres carry an Elo rating of 1500 in our model, and have won 50% of their recent games.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Recent formLLLWWWWLWL
Win rate50%
Elo rating1500
Avg scored (recent)6
Avg conceded (recent)5.3

San Diego Padres

Recent formWWWLLWLWLL
Win rate50%
Elo rating1500
Avg scored (recent)6.3
Avg conceded (recent)4.1

🤖 The BetEX AI verdict on Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Members see what our model ensemble makes of this game:

  • AI pick & win probabilities for every outcome
  • Model confidence score
  • Key factors behind the call
  • Value-bet detection against the market odds
Start your free trial

How BetEX AI analyses this fixture

BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.

Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.