Heerenveen vs Excelsior

Heerenveen hosted Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Friday, October 16, 2026. This game has finished. Here is how the matchup stacked up — the head-to-head history and the form both teams carried in.

Head-to-head record

These two sides have met 7 times in our head-to-head records, with 4 wins for Heerenveen, 1 draw and 2 for Excelsior. That gives Heerenveen the historical edge in this matchup. Their most recent meetings on record: Excelsior 1-2 Heerenveen (2026-03-07); Heerenveen 2-1 Excelsior (2025-10-04); Excelsior 3-0 Heerenveen (2024-01-19).

Recent form

Heerenveen come into this one having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 (L-D-W-L-W). Over that run they have scored 10 goals and conceded 5. That works out to a 47% form rating over the period.

Excelsior come into this one having won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 (D-L-D-L-L). Over that run they have scored 6 goals and conceded 15. That works out to a 13% form rating over the period.

How BetEX AI analyses this fixture

BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.

Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.