Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior

Ajax Amsterdam host Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Saturday, September 19, 2026, starting at 18:00 UTC. Here is how the two teams stack up — the head-to-head history, current form and the latest bookmaker odds — ahead of the BetEX AI verdict on this game.

Head-to-head record

These two sides have met 6 times in our head-to-head records, with 2 wins for Ajax Amsterdam, 3 draws and 1 for Excelsior. That gives Ajax Amsterdam the historical edge in this matchup. Their most recent meetings on record: Excelsior 2-2 Ajax Amsterdam (2026-02-01); Ajax Amsterdam 1-2 Excelsior (2025-11-22); Ajax Amsterdam 2-2 Excelsior (2024-04-24).

Recent form

Ajax Amsterdam come into this one having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 (D-D-W-L-W). Over that run they have scored 13 goals and conceded 7. That works out to a 53% form rating over the period.

Excelsior come into this one having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-D). Over that run they have scored 11 goals and conceded 7. That works out to a 67% form rating over the period.

How BetEX AI analyses this fixture

BetEX AI runs every fixture on this page through an ensemble of statistical models — Elo-style team ratings, scoring-rate (lambda) models and head-to-head history — refreshed daily from live competition data. The ensemble produces a win probability for each outcome, a confidence score, and flags games where the model's probability disagrees with the bookmaker line by enough to matter. Those outputs are reserved for members; everything above comes from the same underlying match data.

Predictions and statistics are for informational purposes only and are no guarantee of results. Please bet responsibly — never wager more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only.